City Hit List 2009-07-01

I really did do this a month ago. Just forgot to post it… again!
In any event, there are some scary low numbers out of Thunder Bay and a few others. The good news is that the West Coast cities, Toronto and Montreal actually increased the rate of hits from the previous quarter.

1.  Saskatoon, SK	17,611	(160)
2.  Regina, SK		10,721	(116)
3.  Edmonton, AB	9,312	(107)
4.  Calgary, AB		9,046	(110)
5.  Winnipeg, MB	3,947	(45)
6.  Moose Jaw, SK	3,070	(27)
7.  Vancouver, BC	2,856	(69)
8.  Thunder Bay, ON	2,138	(4)
9.  Prince Albert, SK	1,840	(13)
10. Victoria, BC	1,513	(36)
11. Surrey, BC		1,310	(25)
12. Red Deer, AB	1,180	(15)
13. Toronto, ON		1,127	(53)
14. Medicine Hat, AB	1,062	(12)
15. Burnaby, BC		925	(17)
16. Sherwood Park, AB	880	(9)
17. Prince George, BC	760	(12)
18. Lethbridge, AB	748	(10)
19. Fort McMurray, AB	720	(11)
20. Kelowna, BC		715	(16)
25. Montreal, QC	656	(19)
36. Yellowknife, NT	518	(4)
66. St John's, NL	270	(13)
3683.  Zephyr, ON        1	     + 36 new locations

As of 2009-04-01:
1.  Saskatoon, SK	17,451	(180)
2.  Regina, SK		10,605	(115)
3.  Edmonton, AB	9,205	(135)
4.  Calgary, AB		8,936	(130)
5.  Winnipeg, MB	3,902	(54)
6.  Moose Jaw, SK	3,043	(30)
7.  Vancouver, BC	2,787	(59)
8.  Thunder Bay, ON	2,134	(10)
9.  Prince Albert, SK	1,827	(13)
10. Victoria, BC	1,477	(41)
11. Surrey, BC		1,285	(24)
12. Red Deer, AB	1,165	(20)
13. Toronto, ON		1,074	(53)
14. Medicine Hat, AB	1,050	(12)
15. Burnaby, BC		908	(11)
16. Sherwood Park, AB	871	(12)
17. Prince George, BC	748	(12)
18. Lethbridge, AB	738	(11)
19. Fort McMurray, AB	709	(13)
20. Kelowna, BC		699	(14)
26. Montreal, QC	637	(27)
35. Yellowknife, NT	511	(7)
69. St John's, NL	257	(25)
3647. Zephyr, ON	1	+ 37 new locations

Again, thanks for keeping this up, Pooga… albeit belatedly. :)

I think it's a fairly easy explanation. We are only seeing growth in the "new" markets. I suspect that in the lead cities, such as Saskatoon, that if you analyzed further, you'd really only see established trackers hitting notes. This "saturation" is typical of diffusion theory (check it out in any good human geography text :) ). Thunder Bay is easy to explain – ever since Honeybabe was finally abducted by aliens late last year, the field that she saturated isn't going to generate any more hits. Really good stuff here… maybe I'll present another paper on it…. :)

Good theory Rudyk. Can you expand on that…..?????

BDK queried:
Good theory Rudyk. Can you expand on that…..?????

on which part?… the alien abduction???? :)

On all the parts, Alien abduction, saturation point etc….

well… geography claims this as a phenomenon, but you'd find it in anthropology or marketing, etc. it applies to diffusion theory – in this case, "contagious diffusion" when an idea or innovation is adopted in a defined region. here, the "innovation" is a marked banknote. in diffusion theory, an acceptable idea will spread, like a disease, through a population. initially, the spread will be very slow, or localized. it then will expand almost exponentially…. become a linear growth and then grow at a slower rate until a saturation, or if you will, a 'carrying capacity" is reached. i tend to think that this, with money tracking, is when everyone who would be interested or curious enough to enter a note to "see where it's been", has done so.

i am not sure about YOUR experience, but i have found, especially in the past couple of years, that most of my hits are from farther afield – outside of saskatchewan and so i think that this province is primarily saturated – nearly everyone has SEEN a stamped note, and if they were inclined to enter or even begin tracking, they have already done so. outside of saskatchewan, where there are larger populations and where not everyone has seen notes from THIS site, may still "adopt" this innovation and so THAT is where the potential for growth still exists.

i tend to believe that the data from the site conforms to this theory. if you look at monthly hits you will see evidence of the pattern – especially in the earlier stages, where the postulated sigmoidal curve is well represented. the pattern of diminishing "carrying capacity" is worthy of study as well. i have long postulated that it is, at least, partially a result of some users' practice of "flooding the market" in the past which might result in almost a backlash rather than an encouragement to track. another possible factor is the apparent diminishment of the use of currency, although i suspect that that is not as much of concern.

I think you may be right, but as well I have met some people who have seen marked notes and they are interested but don't do anything until thay have senn them two or more times.

You got me curious, so I looked at my last 20 hits:

10 in Saskatchewan, of which 6 were in Saskatoon
4 in Alberta of which 2 were Edmonton
3 in BC, but none on the Coast itself
1 in Manitoba
2 in Ontario

And of the 20 hits, 3 were from CMT members.

I need more data! MUST now look at my last 100 hits! No! MORE data, will look at my last 1,000 hits!!!

(PS - Thanks a lot rudyk!)

more input pooga more input number 5

on which part?… the alien abduction???? :) - rudyk

Yes! Yes! The alien abduction part…… ;o)

postulated sigmoidal curve - rudyk

Is there a cure or an ointment for this? :o)

Pooga, now you've gotten me to look at my stats as well! On a nice summer day at that. I think the stats of this whole money tracking business is what got me hooked in the first place.

I've notice a trend in my hits as well. I didn't enter any notes for a period of serveral months. It looks like on Aug 01, 2008, I caught up on a bunch I had spent but not yet entered on the site. I didn't resume entering notes until Feb 12, 2009 and have entered 448 notes since then. It took a while but hits from my 2009 entries are starting to come in on a more regular basis.

The major trend I've noticed is an increase in hits on $20s that have been out there for a while (over a 1000 days). I find these hits to be the most interesting.

Here are stats on my last 26 hits - sort of a mixed bag, now that I'm entering notes on a semi-regular basis:

1. $100 (04) Montreal, QC - 1430 days
2. $20 (04) Brooks, AB - 602 days
3. $20 (04) Calgary, AB - 140 days
4. $5 (06) Sherwood Park, AB - 17 hours
5. $20 (04) Edmonton, AB - 32 days
6. $20 (04) Oshawa, ON - 466 days
7. $20 (04) Manning, AB 37 days
8. $20 (04) Delta, AB - 1388 days
9. $5 (06) Edmonton, AB - 142 days
10. $20 (04) (2 hits) Victoria, AB - 469 days & Calgary, AB - 894 days
11. $20 (04) Edmonton, AB - 106 days
12. $20 (04) Calgary, AB - 1220 days
13. $20 (04) (4 hits, though one looks bogus) 1177 days total in Vancouver and New Westminster, BC
14. $5 (06) Sherwood Park, AB - 14 days by anonymous because I got behind entering notes again!
15. $5 (06) Montreal, QC - 860 days
16. $20 (04) Edmonton, AB - 21 days
17. $20 (04) Deep River, ON - 1193 days
18. $100 (04) Victoria, AB - 1022 days
19. $20 (04) (2 hits) Clarenville, NL - 1216 days and 14 days later
20. $20 (04) Calgary, AB - 119 days
21. $10 (05) Edmonton, AB - 20 days
22. $20 (04) (2 hits) Redcliff, AB - 134 days & Calgary, AB - 1393 days
23. $20 (04) Merritt, BC - 335 days
24. $20 (04) Calgary, AB - 420 days
25. $5 (06) Edmonton, AB - 27 days
26. $20 (04) Montreal, QC - 1380 days

My last hit from another user was on Jun 12 2009 by RUSTYWING. I can't remember the last time I hit another cmter's note. Send your money to Sherwood Park - I like giving hits!!

JaketheDrifter … I can't remember the last time I hit another cmter's note. Send your money to Sherwood Park - I like giving hits!!

Well young lady if ya want hits from SASKATOON come on out to one of our gatherings and pay for something with a 100 dollar bill like your ticket in the 50/50 draw. i am sure your change may have a good chance of being marked. And if you will the draw any winnings will have been entered.
Keep looking in forums for our next meeting.